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For Paycom, the core belief is that its payroll and HCM platform, reinforced by Beti’s self-service model, can keep turning recurring revenue into healthy, expanding margins even if top-line growth is more modest than high-flying software peers. The stock has lagged badly despite solid profitability metrics, high return on equity and a balance of dividends and buybacks, so the near-term debate is less about survival and more about whether the business can re-energize growth and defend its moat as AI pressure hits HR software. Jeff York’s return as CSO fits squarely into that: it potentially strengthens execution around disciplined, margin-focused sales and customer retention, but it does not by itself change the biggest swing factors, such as competitive churn, AI-driven disruption worries and whether management turnover can settle into a stable, effective team.
However, investors should not ignore the combination of insider selling and ongoing AI disruption fears. Despite retreating, Paycom Software's shares might still be trading above their fair value and there could be some more downside. Discover how much.Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Paycom Software - why the stock might be worth just $201.29!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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