Earnings Beat: Chain Bridge Bancorp, Inc. (NYSE:CBNA) Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Forecasts

Investors in Chain Bridge Bancorp, Inc. (NYSE:CBNA) had a good week, as its shares rose 5.8% to close at US$35.24 following the release of its yearly results. It was a workmanlike result, with revenues of US$55m coming in 2.8% ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share of US$3.08, in line with analyst appraisals. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Chain Bridge Bancorp's three analysts is for revenues of US$71.0m in 2026. This reflects a major 28% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 43% to US$4.40. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$64.8m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$3.88 in 2026. So it seems there's been a definite increase in optimism about Chain Bridge Bancorp's future following the latest results, with a solid gain to the earnings per share forecasts in particular.

Check out our latest analysis for Chain Bridge Bancorp

Althoughthe analysts have upgraded their earnings estimates, there was no change to the consensus price target of US$35.00, suggesting that the forecast performance does not have a long term impact on the company's valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Chain Bridge Bancorp analyst has a price target of US$39.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$31.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Chain Bridge Bancorp is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The period to the end of 2026 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 28% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 25% annual growth over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 8.8% per year. So it's pretty clear that Chain Bridge Bancorp is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Chain Bridge Bancorp following these results. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$35.00, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Chain Bridge Bancorp. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Chain Bridge Bancorp going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

We also provide an overview of the Chain Bridge Bancorp Board and CEO remuneration and length of tenure at the company, and whether insiders have been buying the stock, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.