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To own Dynex Capital, you need to be comfortable with a mortgage REIT that leans heavily on its ability to raise equity, scale its agency MBS book and manage interest rate and spread volatility through an increasingly new leadership team. The latest quarter delivered solid net income and a healthy 2025 total return, but also an earnings miss versus expectations, reminding investors that funding costs and operating expenses remain key short term swing factors. The expanded at the market program adds flexibility to keep growing the platform, while also keeping dilution risk firmly on the table. The appointment of Meakin Bennett as COO and a clearer separation of CFO responsibilities should help execution rather than change the story, and recent, fairly muted price action suggests the market views these updates as incremental, not transformative.
However, the very tool that fuels Dynex’s growth could also pressure existing shareholders if conditions shift. Dynex Capital's shares are on the way up, but they could be overextended by 38%. Uncover the fair value now.Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Dynex Capital - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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