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To own Valens Semiconductor, you generally need to believe that MIPI A-PHY becomes a core standard for high-speed automotive connectivity and that Valens converts its design pipeline into meaningful, recurring revenue despite continued losses and customer concentration. The fourth VA7000 ADAS design win strengthens the near term catalyst around standard adoption, but does not materially change the key risk that a small number of programmes and OEMs still drive a large share of future expectations.
The January 2026 e-mirror announcement with Sakae Riken Kogyo, which uses the same VA7000 chipset family, is highly relevant here, as it illustrates that A-PHY is already in production grade automotive products, not just future ADAS platforms. Together with the new Chinese OEM programme, it reinforces the existing thesis that broader A-PHY deployment could gradually reduce reliance on a handful of customers and verticals if adoption continues to broaden.
Yet against this opportunity, investors should also be aware of the risk that rapid shifts in connectivity standards or competing solutions could...
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Valens Semiconductor's narrative projects $128.7 million in revenue and $18.2 million in earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Valens Semiconductor's forecasts yield a $4.00 fair value, a 101% upside to its current price.
Six members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see fair value for Valens Semiconductor between US$2.21 and US$5.00, reflecting a wide spectrum of conviction. Set against this, the core thesis still rests heavily on MIPI A-PHY gaining broad adoption in automotive, which could meaningfully influence how those differing expectations for the business ultimately play out.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Valens Semiconductor - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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