With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.7x in the Real Estate industry in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about First Service Holding Limited's (HKG:2107) P/S ratio of 0.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
View our latest analysis for First Service Holding
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for First Service Holding, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on First Service Holding will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on First Service Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like First Service Holding's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.6% gain to the company's revenues. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 16% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 5.1% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's understandable that First Service Holding's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on assuming the company will continue keeping a low profile.
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we've seen, First Service Holding's three-year revenue trends seem to be contributing to its P/S, given they look similar to current industry expectations. With previous revenue trends that keep up with the current industry outlook, it's hard to justify the company's P/S ratio deviating much from it's current point. Given the current circumstances, it seems improbable that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with First Service Holding (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant).
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.