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To own IBP, you need to believe in steady demand for insulation and related building products, supported by construction activity and efficiency requirements, while accepting its cyclical exposure and relatively high valuation. The new 5.625% 2034 notes mainly tidy up the balance sheet by extending maturities and modestly reducing coupon cost, which does not materially change the near term demand driven catalyst or the key risk around IBP’s leverage and sensitivity to a downturn in construction activity.
The most directly relevant recent development is S&P Global Ratings’ upgrade of IBP’s issuer credit rating to BB, alongside a BB minus rating on the new notes with a stable outlook. This higher rating sits alongside IBP’s busy capital return program, including sizable ongoing share repurchases, and together they frame how the market may view IBP’s ability to manage its higher debt load while still funding growth and shareholder returns through the cycle.
Yet investors should still be aware that IBP’s elevated leverage and sensitivity to construction cycles could become more challenging if ...
Read the full narrative on Installed Building Products (it's free!)
Installed Building Products' narrative projects $3.0 billion revenue and $250.9 million earnings by 2028. This implies a 0.8% yearly revenue decline and a modest $1.0 million earnings increase from $249.9 million today.
Uncover how Installed Building Products' forecasts yield a $245.54 fair value, a 10% downside to its current price.
Three members of the Simply Wall St Community currently place IBP’s fair value anywhere between about US$195 and an extreme outlier above US$455,000 per share, underlining just how far opinions can stretch. Against that backdrop, the recent refinancing that extends IBP’s debt maturities and slightly lowers interest costs may temper concerns about near term balance sheet risk, but you should review several viewpoints before deciding how that fits with your expectations for the business.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Installed Building Products - why the stock might be worth 29% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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