Yokorei Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:2874) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥12.00 per share on 9th of June. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 2.0%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Before making this announcement, YokoreiLtd was paying out a fairly large proportion of earnings, and it wasn't generating positive free cash flows either. Generally, we think that this would be a risky long term practice.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 17.4% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 62%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
View our latest analysis for YokoreiLtd
The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2016, the annual payment back then was ¥20.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥24.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 1.8% over that duration. Dividends have grown relatively slowly, which is not great, but some investors may value the relative consistency of the dividend.
Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. In the last five years, YokoreiLtd's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 3.4% per annum. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. Earnings are forecast to grow over the next 12 months and if that happens we could still be a little bit cautious until it becomes a pattern.
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about YokoreiLtd's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for YokoreiLtd (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.