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To own TransUnion, you generally need to believe that its data and analytics platform can keep compounding value despite regulatory and competitive pressures. The FHFA criticism over mortgage credit report pricing speaks directly to near term revenue and margin risk in U.S. mortgage, but it does not appear to alter the broader thesis that earnings growth will be driven by expanding solutions across risk, fraud and consumer products.
The appointment of Francesca Noli to lead TruEmpower looks particularly relevant here, because it reinforces TransUnion’s push into consumer facing credit education and identity protection at a time when traditional mortgage related credit bureau fees are under scrutiny. If those newer offerings gain traction, they could help diversify away from more regulated revenue streams and support the earnings growth that many investors are currently counting on.
Yet for all of that potential, investors still need to be aware that regulatory scrutiny of pricing and data use could...
Read the full narrative on TransUnion (it's free!)
TransUnion's narrative projects $5.6 billion revenue and $869.9 million earnings by 2028. This requires 8.4% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $478 million from $392.0 million today.
Uncover how TransUnion's forecasts yield a $107.25 fair value, a 28% upside to its current price.
Two members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see fair value for TransUnion between US$107.25 and US$210.46, highlighting a wide spread in individual expectations. When you set those opinions against fresh FHFA scrutiny of credit report pricing, it underlines how important regulatory risk could be for the company’s future performance and why it is worth weighing several viewpoints before deciding how to approach the stock.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on TransUnion - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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