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For CSPC, you really have to believe in its shift from a traditional Chinese pharma name into a genuine innovator, while accepting that the payoff from this pivot could be lumpy. The recent approvals to start clinical trials in inhaled nintedanib, an aldosterone synthase inhibitor, a triple diabetes tablet and a GLP 1/GIP dual biased agonist add scientific depth to the story, but they do not instantly change the near term picture, which is still shaped by moderating earnings, a rich sector multiple and an unstable dividend record. What does change is the balance of catalysts and risks: future sentiment is likely to hinge more on clinical progress and R&D productivity than on incremental margin trends or dividend moves, which makes trial outcomes a more central risk for shareholders than before.
However, this greater reliance on unproven late stage innovation is something investors should be very aware of. CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued by 44%. Find out what it's worth.Four Simply Wall St Community fair value views span HK$10.08 to HK$16.40, showing how far apart private investors can be on CSPC’s prospects. Set that breadth against the growing dependence on successful trials and pipeline execution, and it becomes clear why many readers may want to weigh several perspectives before deciding how this fits into their own expectations for the business.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on CSPC Pharmaceutical Group - why the stock might be worth just HK$10.08!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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