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To own Unusual Machines, you need to believe in its ambition to be a key Tier 1 supplier in the domestic drone supply chain, particularly to U.S. government and enterprise customers. The most important near term catalyst remains the conversion of expected government and defense demand into firm, recurring orders, while execution risk around rapid scale up and profitability is still a central concern. The latest leadership and conference activity does not materially change these core drivers.
The promotion of Stacy Wright to Chief Revenue Officer is the clearest link to these catalysts, because her remit spans consumer, enterprise, and defense markets where those potential contracts sit. Paired with the company’s growing presence at the Needham Growth Conference, this move aligns leadership structure with Unusual Machines’ stated goal of supplying NDAA compliant components into a multi billion dollar U.S. drone market, without yet altering the underlying risks around government order timing or operational execution.
Yet for investors, the concentration of expected growth in a few large government programs is something you should be aware of, because...
Read the full narrative on Unusual Machines (it's free!)
Unusual Machines' narrative projects $55.2 million revenue and $5.0 million earnings by 2028. This requires 92.8% yearly revenue growth and a $44.5 million earnings increase from $-39.5 million today.
Uncover how Unusual Machines' forecasts yield a $19.00 fair value, a 19% upside to its current price.
Seven fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span a wide range from US$4.81 to US$25 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. When you set those against the company’s heavy reliance on large, potentially volatile U.S. government orders, it underlines why many market participants are stress testing very different scenarios for Unusual Machines’ future performance and why it can pay to explore several alternative viewpoints.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Unusual Machines - why the stock might be worth as much as 56% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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