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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 17.2%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 82.8%. The probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 44.1%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 48.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cumulatively is 7%.

Zhitongcaijing·01/04/2026 22:09:01
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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 17.2%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 82.8%. The probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 44.1%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 48.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cumulatively is 7%.