With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.7x PICC Property and Casualty Company Limited (HKG:2328) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 13x and even P/E's higher than 24x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, PICC Property and Casualty has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for PICC Property and Casualty
In order to justify its P/E ratio, PICC Property and Casualty would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 67% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 52% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 6.9% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 13% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that PICC Property and Casualty's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that PICC Property and Casualty maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for PICC Property and Casualty with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on PICC Property and Casualty, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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