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Frontier Digital Ventures (ASX:FDV shareholders incur further losses as stock declines 13% this week, taking five-year losses to 85%

Simply Wall St·01/02/2026 23:45:12
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Long term investing is the way to go, but that doesn't mean you should hold every stock forever. We don't wish catastrophic capital loss on anyone. For example, we sympathize with anyone who was caught holding Frontier Digital Ventures Limited (ASX:FDV) during the five years that saw its share price drop a whopping 85%. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 32%. Furthermore, it's down 54% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don't have to lose the lesson.

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

Frontier Digital Ventures isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

Over five years, Frontier Digital Ventures grew its revenue at 21% per year. That's better than most loss-making companies. So on the face of it we're really surprised to see the share price has averaged a fall of 13% each year, in the same time period. You'd have to assume the market is worried that profits won't come soon enough. While there might be an opportunity here, you'd want to take a close look at the balance sheet strength.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:FDV Earnings and Revenue Growth January 2nd 2026

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. You can see what analysts are predicting for Frontier Digital Ventures in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Frontier Digital Ventures had a tough year, with a total loss of 32%, against a market gain of about 10%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 13% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Frontier Digital Ventures better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Frontier Digital Ventures you should know about.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.