When close to half the companies in Malaysia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider IJM Corporation Berhad (KLSE:IJM) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 20.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
IJM Corporation Berhad hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for IJM Corporation Berhad
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like IJM Corporation Berhad's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 29%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 155% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 15% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's alarming that IJM Corporation Berhad's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of IJM Corporation Berhad's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for IJM Corporation Berhad that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.