According to Kalshi, the forecast market, as of the beginning of January 2026, the probability that the US government will shut down on January 31 is only 29%, down from 40%-48% last month.

According to Kalshi, the forecast market, as of the beginning of January 2026, the probability that the US government will shut down on January 31 is only 29%, down from 40%-48% last month.