Is It Time To Consider Buying Allegion plc (NYSE:ALLE)?

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Allegion plc (NYSE:ALLE). The company's stock saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$179 and falling to the lows of US$157. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Allegion's current trading price of US$159 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Allegion’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

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Is Allegion Still Cheap?

According to our valuation model, Allegion seems to be fairly priced at around 17.18% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Allegion today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $135.88, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Allegion’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

View our latest analysis for Allegion

What does the future of Allegion look like?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Allegion's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 34%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ALLE’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ALLE, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Allegion has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.