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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 14.9%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 85.1%. The probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March next year is 45.2%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 48.3%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 6.5%.

Zhitongcaijing·12/30/2025 22:09:01
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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 14.9%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 85.1%. The probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March next year is 45.2%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 48.3%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 6.5%.