Aichi Tokei Denki Co., Ltd. (TSE:7723) will pay a dividend of ¥45.00 on the 26th of June. This makes the dividend yield 3.3%, which is above the industry average.
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, Aichi Tokei Denki was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 9.3% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 35%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Check out our latest analysis for Aichi Tokei Denki
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥33.33 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥90.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 10% over that duration. Aichi Tokei Denki has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's encouraging to see that Aichi Tokei Denki has been growing its earnings per share at 13% a year over the past five years. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Aichi Tokei Denki's payments are rock solid. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Aichi Tokei Denki that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Aichi Tokei Denki not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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