THECOO Inc. (TSE:4255) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 37% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 292% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, it would still be understandable if you think THECOO is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.1x, considering almost half the companies in Japan's Interactive Media and Services industry have P/S ratios above 1.6x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for THECOO
THECOO has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on THECOO's earnings, revenue and cash flow.In order to justify its P/S ratio, THECOO would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 14% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 9.7% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why THECOO's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
Despite THECOO's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
In line with expectations, THECOO maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for THECOO you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.