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Central Japan Railway Company's (TSE:9022) Stock Been Rising: Are Strong Financials Guiding The Market?

Simply Wall St·12/28/2025 23:14:15
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Most readers would already know that Central Japan Railway's (TSE:9022) stock increased by 5.0% over the past three months. Given its impressive performance, we decided to study the company's key financial indicators as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Central Japan Railway's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Central Japan Railway is:

11% = JP¥530b ÷ JP¥4.9t (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2025).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every ¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated ¥0.11 in profit.

See our latest analysis for Central Japan Railway

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Central Japan Railway's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

To start with, Central Japan Railway's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 7.2% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This certainly adds some context to Central Japan Railway's exceptional 59% net income growth seen over the past five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Central Japan Railway's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 45% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
TSE:9022 Past Earnings Growth December 28th 2025

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Central Japan Railway fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Central Japan Railway Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Central Japan Railway's ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 7.4% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (93%) of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

Moreover, Central Japan Railway is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years.

Conclusion

Overall, we are quite pleased with Central Japan Railway's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. That being so, according to the latest industry analyst forecasts, the company's earnings are expected to shrink in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.