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    Broadcom (AVGO): Assessing Valuation After a Recent Pullback in a Long-Term Growth Story

    Simply Wall St·12/25/2025 14:15:08
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    Broadcom (AVGO) has quietly become one of the market’s steadier compounders, and the recent pullback after a strong year to date has investors asking whether this is a healthy reset or an early warning sign.

    See our latest analysis for Broadcom.

    The recent pullback leaves Broadcom trading at $350.22, with a powerful year to date share price return but a softer 1 month move suggesting momentum is pausing rather than breaking. Multi year total shareholder returns still point to a strong long term compounding story.

    If Broadcom’s run has you rethinking your tech exposure, this is a good moment to scan other high growth tech and AI names using our high growth tech and AI stocks.

    With growth roaring across semis and AI infrastructure, the real question now is whether Broadcom’s current valuation still leaves upside on the table or whether the market has already priced in its next leg of expansion.

    Most Popular Narrative: 13.2% Undervalued

    With the latest close at $350.22 versus a narrative fair value near $403.66, the current setup depends on how aggressively AI and software earnings scale from here.

    Strong multi year bookings, a record $110 billion backlog (driven primarily by AI), and disciplined capital allocation (R&D investments, high free cash flow, and dividends) provide a foundation for continued earnings growth and per share expansion.

    Read the complete narrative.

    Want to see what kind of growth curve would justify that backlog driven upside? The narrative focuses on rapid AI fueled revenue expansion and the potential for higher long term profit margins. Curious how those assumptions translate into a premium future earnings multiple while still suggesting the shares are not fully priced? Review the full narrative to examine the numbers behind this fair value estimate.

    Result: Fair Value of $403.66 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

    However, this upside depends heavily on a concentrated AI customer base and flawless VMware integration, where any stumble could quickly challenge today’s growth assumptions.

    Find out about the key risks to this Broadcom narrative.

    Another Lens on Valuation

    Analysts may see upside to $456.80, but our SWS DCF model paints a cooler picture, with fair value closer to $288.04, implying Broadcom is overvalued at $350.22. If cash flows are right and sentiment cools, how quickly could expectations reset?

    Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

    AVGO Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025
    AVGO Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025

    Build Your Own Broadcom Narrative

    If you see the story differently or want to stress test the assumptions with your own inputs, you can build a custom view in just minutes: Do it your way.

    A great starting point for your Broadcom research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

    Ready for more investment ideas?

    Broaden your opportunity set now by using the Simply Wall St Screener to uncover focused, data driven stock ideas before the market fully catches on.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.