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To own Gevo, you have to believe sustainable aviation fuel and carbon solutions can scale into a profitable, durable business despite policy and technology uncertainty. The leadership transition to Dr. Paul Bloom looks orderly and does not materially change the near term focus on securing funding for capital intensive projects and managing reliance on clean fuel and CDR credits, which remain the key catalyst and the biggest operational and policy risk in the story.
The most relevant recent update here is Gevo’s Q3 2025 earnings, which showed sales of US$42.71 million and a reduced net loss of US$7.95 million. Bloom’s track record in commercializing renewable technologies and monetizing jet fuel and carbon sits directly against this early revenue traction, and investors will likely watch how execution on new projects and carbon credit monetization progresses against that improving, but still loss making, earnings base.
But investors should also be aware that if government tax credits were scaled back after 2029, and Gevo has not yet...
Read the full narrative on Gevo (it's free!)
Gevo's narrative projects $192.2 million revenue and $28.4 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Gevo's forecasts yield a $6.08 fair value, a 182% upside to its current price.
Ten fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span a wide range, from US$0.43 to US$14 per share, showing sharply different expectations. You can weigh those views against Gevo’s dependence on future clean fuel and CDR credit monetization, which could heavily influence how its eventual profitability lines up with any of these numbers.
Explore 10 other fair value estimates on Gevo - why the stock might be worth over 6x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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