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To own RBC Bearings, you need to believe its strong revenue, earnings and cash generation can persist despite cyclical industrial demand and concentrated aerospace and defense exposure. The recent confirmation of solid multi‑year growth and a healthy free cash flow margin supports the near term growth catalyst of rising defense and infrastructure demand, but does not materially change the key risk that a slowdown or disruption at major OEM customers could pressure both volumes and margins.
Among recent announcements, the Q2 FY2026 results and Q3 sales guidance stand out as most relevant, as they align with the story of double digit revenue and earnings expansion that underpins the current investment case. Management’s expectation for continued year on year sales growth in upcoming quarters ties directly into the thesis that RBC’s record backlog and aerospace content can keep supporting earnings, while also testing how resilient margins remain if industrial end markets stay uneven.
Yet, beneath the strong growth numbers, investors should be aware of the ongoing risk tied to a handful of large aerospace and defense customers...
Read the full narrative on RBC Bearings (it's free!)
RBC Bearings' narrative projects $2.3 billion revenue and $445.8 million earnings by 2028. This requires 11.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $199 million earnings increase from $246.6 million today.
Uncover how RBC Bearings' forecasts yield a $482.00 fair value, a 5% upside to its current price.
Simply Wall St Community members currently bracket RBC Bearings’ fair value between US$313.53 and US$482 across 2 independent views, showing how far opinions can stretch. Readers should weigh that dispersion against the company’s reliance on a few major aerospace and defense OEMs, and consider how shifts in those relationships could influence both future results and their own expectations.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on RBC Bearings - why the stock might be worth as much as 5% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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