Readers hoping to buy Rococo Co. Ltd. (TSE:5868) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. The ex-dividend date is two business days before a company's record date in most cases, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Therefore, if you purchase Rococo's shares on or after the 29th of December, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 30th of March.
The company's next dividend payment will be JP¥35.00 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of JP¥25.00 to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Rococo has a trailing yield of 2.4% on the current share price of JP¥1048.00. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.
Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Rococo paid out a comfortable 27% of its profit last year. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Rococo generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Luckily it paid out just 20% of its free cash flow last year.
It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.
Check out our latest analysis for Rococo
Click here to see how much of its profit Rococo paid out over the last 12 months.
Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. That's why it's not ideal to see Rococo's earnings per share have been shrinking at 2.4% a year over the previous five years.
The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Since the start of our data, two years ago, Rococo has lifted its dividend by approximately 12% a year on average.
Is Rococo an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? Rococo has comfortably low cash and profit payout ratios, which may mean the dividend is sustainable even in the face of a sharp decline in earnings per share. Still, we consider declining earnings to be a warning sign. In summary, while it has some positive characteristics, we're not inclined to race out and buy Rococo today.
So while Rococo looks good from a dividend perspective, it's always worthwhile being up to date with the risks involved in this stock. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Rococo and you should be aware of these before buying any shares.
If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.