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To own Global Net Lease, you need to believe in its ability to reposition the portfolio toward mission critical net lease assets while managing high leverage and weak profitability. The McLaren Campus sale is material for balance sheet repair in the near term, but it does not remove key risks around office exposure, disposition driven revenue pressure, or the sustainability of current dividend levels.
The McLaren Campus sale, which generated an estimated £80,000,000 gain and reduced leverage, ties directly into GNL’s capital recycling and deleveraging efforts that many investors view as the most important near term catalyst. In contrast, the continued declaration of preferred dividends, while expected for a REIT, still sits against a backdrop of ongoing net losses and a dividend that is not covered by earnings, keeping balance sheet and income statement resilience in clear focus.
Yet beneath the apparent progress on leverage, investors should be aware that...
Read the full narrative on Global Net Lease (it's free!)
Global Net Lease's narrative projects $493.0 million revenue and $97.6 million earnings by 2028. This assumes a 13.8% yearly revenue decline and an earnings increase of about $372 million from -$274.4 million today.
Uncover how Global Net Lease's forecasts yield a $9.36 fair value, a 11% upside to its current price.
Four fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span about US$8.08 to US$14.14 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. When you compare these against GNL’s reliance on asset sales to reduce a sizeable debt load, it underlines why assessing several viewpoints on future income stability and leverage trends can be so important.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Global Net Lease - why the stock might be worth as much as 67% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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