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Novo Nordisk (NYSE:NVO): Reassessing Valuation After Recent Share Price Rebound

Simply Wall St·12/25/2025 00:49:54
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Novo Nordisk (NYSE:NVO) has been on a choppy ride lately, with the stock rebounding over the past month after a weaker stretch in the past 3 months and year to date.

See our latest analysis for Novo Nordisk.

That rebound stands out against a much softer backdrop, with a 30 day share price return of 16.88 percent offsetting a weak year to date share price performance and a negative one year total shareholder return. This hints that sentiment may be stabilising after a sharp reset.

If Novo Nordisk has you rethinking your healthcare exposure, it could be a good moment to scan other high quality names using our curated healthcare stocks for fresh ideas.

With shares still well below their highs despite solid revenue and profit growth, investors face a key question: Is Novo Nordisk now trading at an attractive discount, or is the market already pricing in its next leg of growth?

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 56.5% Undervalued

At a last close of $52.56 versus a narrative fair value north of $120, the story here leans heavily toward a re rating opportunity.

Novo now trades at just 12× forward earnings, down from >30× a year ago. With clean financials, durable IP through 2032, and a clear innovation roadmap, the risk/reward profile has reset attractively.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see what powers such a dramatic upside gap? The narrative leans on compounding earnings, resilient margins, and a surprisingly assertive future multiple. Curious which assumptions carry the most weight in that fair value math?

Result: Fair Value of $120.72 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, policy-driven US pricing pressure and slower than expected GLP 1 uptake, especially compared with Lilly, could quickly cap the upside this narrative implies.

Find out about the key risks to this Novo Nordisk narrative.

Build Your Own Novo Nordisk Narrative

If you see the story unfolding differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalised view in minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Novo Nordisk research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.