Despite an already strong run, Happy Belly Food Group Inc. (CSE:HBFG) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 86%.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in Canada's Healthcare Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 8.2x, you may consider Happy Belly Food Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 15.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Happy Belly Food Group
Recent times have been advantageous for Happy Belly Food Group as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Happy Belly Food Group.The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Happy Belly Food Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 135% gain to the company's top line. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 54% per year as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 13% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Happy Belly Food Group is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
Happy Belly Food Group's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Happy Belly Food Group maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Healthcare Services industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Happy Belly Food Group with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.