Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Tian Lun Gas Holdings Limited (HKG:1600) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
As you can see below, Tian Lun Gas Holdings had CN¥7.51b of debt, at June 2025, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.22b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥6.29b.
According to the last reported balance sheet, Tian Lun Gas Holdings had liabilities of CN¥3.92b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥6.00b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.22b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.88b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥4.82b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥2.78b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Tian Lun Gas Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
View our latest analysis for Tian Lun Gas Holdings
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Tian Lun Gas Holdings shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.4 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. More concerning, Tian Lun Gas Holdings saw its EBIT drop by 8.2% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tian Lun Gas Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Tian Lun Gas Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 65% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
On the face of it, Tian Lun Gas Holdings's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We should also note that Gas Utilities industry companies like Tian Lun Gas Holdings commonly do use debt without problems. We're quite clear that we consider Tian Lun Gas Holdings to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Tian Lun Gas Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.