When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 13x, you may consider China Shineway Pharmaceutical Group Limited (HKG:2877) as an attractive investment with its 7.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
China Shineway Pharmaceutical Group could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for China Shineway Pharmaceutical Group
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like China Shineway Pharmaceutical Group's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 43% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.2% per year as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 14% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why China Shineway Pharmaceutical Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of China Shineway Pharmaceutical Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Shineway Pharmaceutical Group that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than China Shineway Pharmaceutical Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.