This month, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran held military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz and other places. According to news from the US side on the 21st, Israeli officials issued a warning to the US government last weekend, saying that Iran's exercises may be preparing to launch an attack on Israel. An Israeli source said that the intelligence collected so far shows that Iran has only mobilized military forces within the country. Iran is less than 50% likely to launch an attack, but Israel is unwilling to take risks. Since the outbreak of a new round of conflict between Palestine and Israel on October 7, 2023, the Israeli military's risk tolerance has been far lower than before. US intelligence agencies have found no signs that Iran will launch an attack

This month, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran held military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz and other places. According to news from the US side on the 21st, Israeli officials issued a warning to the US government last weekend, saying that Iran's exercises may be preparing to launch an attack on Israel. An Israeli source said that the intelligence collected so far shows that Iran has only mobilized military forces within the country. Iran is less than 50% likely to launch an attack, but Israel is unwilling to take risks. Since the outbreak of a new round of conflict between Palestine and Israel on October 7, 2023, the Israeli military's risk tolerance has been far lower than before. US intelligence agencies have found no signs that Iran will launch an attack