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To own Innoviva, you have to believe in the shift from a royalty-heavy story toward a more diversified infectious disease and critical care business that can turn its recent earnings inflection into something durable. The FDA approval of NUZOLVENCE fits squarely into that thesis: it strengthens the company’s antibiotic franchise and could become a new pillar alongside existing products, at a time when revenue and profit trends have already improved and a US$125,000,000 buyback signals confidence in cash generation. In the near term, the key catalyst is how quickly Innoviva and its partners can convert this first-in-class gonorrhea therapy into real-world uptake, pricing, and access, while the main risk shifts toward execution in commercialization and dependence on a relatively concentrated portfolio.
However, one risk in particular around that concentration is easy to underestimate. Despite retreating, Innoviva's shares might still be trading above their fair value and there could be some more downside. Discover how much.Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Innoviva - why the stock might be worth just $32.50!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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