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    Is Weyerhaeuser’s Biocarbon JV With Aymium Reshaping WY’s Long Term Earnings Mix?

    Simply Wall St·12/22/2025 17:19:03
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    • Earlier this month, Aymium announced a memorandum of understanding with Weyerhaeuser to form TerraForge Biocarbon Solutions, a joint venture that will use Weyerhaeuser-supplied wood fiber to produce up to 1.5 million tons of metallurgical-grade biocarbon annually as a coal replacement in metals production.
    • This partnership links Weyerhaeuser’s timberland and mill footprint with Aymium’s low-emissions biocarbon technology, potentially opening a new long-term revenue stream tied to decarbonizing global metals manufacturing.
    • We’ll now explore how this planned large-scale biocarbon platform influences Weyerhaeuser’s existing investment narrative and long-term earnings mix.

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    Weyerhaeuser Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Weyerhaeuser, you generally need to believe in the long term value of its timberlands and the cash flow from its REIT model, despite cyclical lumber demand and housing sentiment. The new Aymium biocarbon venture adds an interesting potential revenue stream, but the most important near term swing factor still looks to be lumber pricing and volumes, while softer building activity and macro uncertainty remain key risks.

    The recent memorandum of understanding with Aymium aligns most closely with Weyerhaeuser’s broader effort to diversify earnings beyond traditional lumber cycles. It sits alongside the company’s ongoing dividends of US$0.21 per share and active share repurchases in 2025, which together signal a continued focus on cash returns even as management explores new fiber based opportunities like biocarbon that could balance exposure to housing related demand over time.

    But investors should also be aware of how weaker lumber demand and pricing could interact with...

    Read the full narrative on Weyerhaeuser (it's free!)

    Weyerhaeuser's narrative projects $8.2 billion revenue and $990.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 5.2% yearly revenue growth and about a $711 million earnings increase from $279.0 million today.

    Uncover how Weyerhaeuser's forecasts yield a $29.82 fair value, a 27% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    WY 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    WY 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Five members of the Simply Wall St Community value Weyerhaeuser between US$21.90 and US$40.61 per share, showing wide disagreement on upside. Against that backdrop, the new biocarbon venture and ongoing lumber demand risk give you several different earnings paths to consider before forming your own view.

    Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Weyerhaeuser - why the stock might be worth as much as 73% more than the current price!

    Build Your Own Weyerhaeuser Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.