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How Investors May Respond To ExlService Holdings (EXLS) Buyback And AI‑Led Earnings Momentum

Simply Wall St·12/22/2025 10:14:41
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  • Earlier this month, ExlService Holdings completed a US$63.37 million repurchase of 1,551,970 shares at US$40.83 each from Orogen Echo LLC, alongside reporting a quarter of 12% revenue growth and 11% adjusted EPS growth powered by its data and AI offerings.
  • At the same time, EXL’s full migration of its LifePRO Digital Suite to Amazon Web Services highlights how its AI-enabled, cloud-based platforms are reshaping life and annuity operations for global insurers.
  • Next, we’ll explore how EXL’s LifePRO migration to AWS and AI-led earnings growth may influence the company’s existing investment narrative.

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ExlService Holdings Investment Narrative Recap

To own EXL, you largely need to believe that its data and AI platforms can keep driving revenue and earnings ahead of traditional outsourcing, even as automation reshapes client needs. The recent US$63.37 million repurchase and AI-fueled 12% revenue and 11% adjusted EPS growth support that thesis, but they do not materially change the near term catalyst of winning more AI-led deals or the key risk from intensifying AI and BPO competition.

The full migration of EXL’s LifePRO Digital Suite to Amazon Web Services looks most relevant here, because it speaks directly to that AI and cloud differentiation investors are watching. By offering insurers a modern, scalable platform that supports advanced analytics, automation and real time data exchange, EXL is leaning into one of its main growth drivers, even as it continues to face regulatory, cost and client concentration risks that could offset some of these benefits.

Yet while the AI and cloud story is compelling, investors should also be aware of rising data privacy and security obligations that could...

Read the full narrative on ExlService Holdings (it's free!)

ExlService Holdings' narrative projects $2.7 billion revenue and $326.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 10.9% yearly revenue growth and about a $90 million earnings increase from $236.3 million today.

Uncover how ExlService Holdings' forecasts yield a $52.29 fair value, a 21% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

EXLS 1-Year Stock Price Chart
EXLS 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community cluster between US$52.29 and US$57.31, highlighting how differently individual investors can view EXL. You should weigh those views against the risk that tighter global data privacy rules could raise compliance costs and affect how scalable EXL’s AI driven model really is over time.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on ExlService Holdings - why the stock might be worth as much as 33% more than the current price!

Build Your Own ExlService Holdings Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.