Evaluating Coterra Energy’s Valuation After New Microgrid Deal in the New Mexico Permian Basin

Coterra Energy (CTRA) just surfaced on investors radar after a subsidiary teamed up with ProPetro’s PROPWR unit to power distributed microgrids across Coterra’s New Mexico Permian footprint, with deployment slated for early 2026.

See our latest analysis for Coterra Energy.

Despite a softer recent patch, with a 7 day share price return of minus 3.39 percent and the stock last trading at 25.38 dollars, Coterra’s 1 year total shareholder return of 9.19 percent and 5 year total shareholder return of 99.5 percent suggest longer term momentum has been resilient, and deals like the microgrid partnership can shift how investors price its future growth and risk profile.

If this kind of infrastructure upgrade has you thinking about where else capital is flowing in energy, it could be worth scanning fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as a way to spot other potentially well aligned management teams.

With Coterra trading at a double digit discount to analyst targets and posting steady revenue and profit growth, the real question is whether investors are missing a re rating story here or already pricing in its next leg of expansion.

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 21.6% Undervalued

With the most followed narrative putting fair value above Coterra Energy’s last close of 25.38 dollars, the implied upside leans heavily on future earnings power.

The company's diversified commodity mix and focus on differentiated, higher value marketing strategies (such as long term gas sales to power plants and select LNG contracts) help stabilize cash flow and realized prices, mitigating earnings volatility and expanding gross margins through commodity cycles.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see how this thesis turns stable cash flow into upside potential? The narrative leans on ambitious growth, changing margins, and a richer future earnings multiple. Curious which moving parts really drive that gap between today’s price and projected value?

Result: Fair Value of $32.36 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistently weak gas prices or underperforming wells, particularly in key basins like Marcellus and Culberson, could compress margins and undermine that upside case.

Find out about the key risks to this Coterra Energy narrative.

Build Your Own Coterra Energy Narrative

If this story does not quite match your view, or you would rather dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a custom take in just a few minutes: Do it your way

A great starting point for your Coterra Energy research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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