Coloplast (CPSE:COLO B) has put leadership transition in the spotlight, with long serving executive Dorthe Rønnau set to depart and Interventional Urology head Tommy Johns preparing to retire, handing the reins to incoming EVP Kevin Hardage.
See our latest analysis for Coloplast.
Those leadership changes land at a tricky time for investors, with a year to date share price return of minus 30.03 percent and a one year total shareholder return of minus 28.52 percent, signalling fading momentum despite Coloplast’s underlying growth profile.
If this reshuffle has you thinking more broadly about healthcare exposure, it could be worth scanning other names via healthcare stocks to see how peers are positioned.
With earnings still growing at a double-digit pace and the share price sitting at a steep discount to analyst targets and intrinsic value estimates, a key question arises for investors: is this a buying opportunity, or is future growth already priced in?
The most widely followed narrative pitches Coloplast’s fair value at around DKK 689 per share, comfortably above the last close of DKK 548. It frames a sizable upside rooted in margin expansion and steady growth.
The analysts have a consensus price target of DKK716.111 for Coloplast based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of DKK962.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just DKK585.0.
Want to see what kind of revenue lift and margin reset could justify that gap, and why the future earnings multiple still looks demanding on paper? The full narrative unpacks the growth runway, profit rebuild and valuation bridge that turn today’s price into a potential discount.
Result: Fair Value of $689 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, this upside still hinges on avoiding heavy US reimbursement cuts and on navigating stricter Chinese regulatory demands that could squeeze pricing and margins.
Find out about the key risks to this Coloplast narrative.
On earnings multiples, Coloplast looks far less forgiving. It trades on about 34 times earnings versus a fair ratio of 32.7 times, and below the 24.8 times industry and 31.9 times peer averages, pointing to valuation risk rather than a clear bargain. Which signal should investors trust?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
If you are not aligned with this view, or simply want to stress test the assumptions yourself, you can build a full narrative in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Coloplast research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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