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To own Guardant Health, you have to believe liquid biopsy and data driven oncology will scale fast enough to eventually cover heavy cash burn and ongoing losses. The new Trial Library and Policlinico Gemelli collaborations reinforce the adoption story but do not materially change the near term picture, where the key catalyst is still broader reimbursement and guideline traction, and the biggest risk remains high R&D and Shield investment outpacing revenue and pushing further funding needs.
The launch of FPG 360 at Policlinico Gemelli looks most relevant here, because it shows Guardant embedding Guardant360 CDx directly into a large European hospital system that serves thousands of cancer patients each year. For investors focused on catalysts, this kind of in house integration can support volume scaling and richer real world data that may help underpin future payer discussions, even if it does not immediately alter the company’s path to profitability.
However, investors should also recognize the risk that ongoing cash burn and potential future equity raises could...
Read the full narrative on Guardant Health (it's free!)
Guardant Health's narrative projects $1.5 billion revenue and $82.1 million earnings by 2028. This requires 22.5% yearly revenue growth and a $495.9 million earnings increase from -$413.8 million today.
Uncover how Guardant Health's forecasts yield a $100.82 fair value, in line with its current price.
Four Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Guardant Health span roughly US$68 to US$208 per share, reflecting very different views on upside. Against this spread, the core debate remains whether growing adoption of Guardant’s liquid biopsy platform can eventually offset persistent losses and heavy investment in Shield, which could have meaningful implications for long term shareholder outcomes.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Guardant Health - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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