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To own Lyft, you have to believe it can turn profitable rideshare scale, partnerships and technology into durable earnings despite intense competition and regulatory pressure. The latest Canadian expansion and holiday safety programs look positive for brand visibility, but they do not materially change the near term focus on monetizing rider growth or the key risk that autonomous vehicles from players like Tesla and Waymo could reshape ride hailing economics.
The Penn State Berks partnership, which funds free, carbon neutral Lyft rides for students to medical and community sites, is especially relevant here because it shows how Lyft is leaning on institutional and public oriented relationships to deepen usage. For investors watching catalysts, these kinds of recurring, service based partnerships can matter more to the story than one off regional launches, even if they attract less headline attention.
Yet investors should also be aware that competitive pressure from autonomous vehicles could alter how sustainable these partnership driven gains really are...
Read the full narrative on Lyft (it's free!)
Lyft's narrative projects $8.7 billion revenue and $324.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 12.3% yearly revenue growth and about a $232 million earnings increase from $92.2 million today.
Uncover how Lyft's forecasts yield a $24.06 fair value, a 24% upside to its current price.
Fifteen members of the Simply Wall St Community place Lyft’s fair value between US$12.87 and US$55.99, highlighting wide disagreement on what the business is worth. Against that backdrop, concerns about autonomous vehicles disrupting traditional ridesharing may be an important lens for you to compare these different valuations and consider how the company’s performance could evolve.
Explore 15 other fair value estimates on Lyft - why the stock might be worth 34% less than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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