Toyobo Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:3101) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥40.00 per share on 26th of June. This makes the dividend yield 3.3%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Toyobo's dividend was only 46% of earnings, however it was paying out 133% of free cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 13.7%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 41%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
View our latest analysis for Toyobo
The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥35.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥40.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 1.3% over that duration. While the consistency in the dividend payments is impressive, we think the relatively slow rate of growth is less attractive.
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. Earnings per share has been sinking by 11% over the last five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Toyobo's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While Toyobo is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Toyobo (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Toyobo not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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