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The Bull Case For Kitron (OB:KIT) Could Change Following New Defence And Energy Mega-Contracts – Learn Why

Simply Wall St·12/20/2025 22:28:06
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  • In recent days, Kitron announced several defence and energy-related contracts worth a combined €135 million, spanning combat vehicle electronics, guidance and targeting systems, and grid-balancing components for data center power infrastructure, with production across its European and U.S. facilities and deliveries mainly starting in 2026 and 2027.
  • Alongside these wins, Kitron updated its 2026 guidance and set out a path toward €1.50 billion in revenues, underscoring how growing defence demand and energy transition spending are increasingly shaping the company’s long-term order visibility.
  • We’ll now examine how Kitron’s new defence and energy contracts, and upgraded 2026 revenue and EBIT guidance, reshape its investment narrative.

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Kitron Investment Narrative Recap

To own Kitron, you need to believe it can translate a growing defence and energy order book into profitable growth while managing rising material and tariff-related costs. The latest €135 million in long-dated contracts strengthens short term visibility, but does not fully resolve margin pressure from higher input costs and defence-heavy mix, which remains a key swing factor for earnings.

The €44 million order for energy storage and grid balancing systems tied to data center demand looks particularly important, because it adds a higher value energy exposure that can partially offset weaker medical volumes and regional demand softness. Together with updated 2026 revenue and EBIT guidance, it gives more context around how Kitron is trying to balance growth against capacity utilization and profitability constraints.

Yet while new contracts support growth, investors still need to be aware of how higher material costs and defence-heavy revenues could...

Read the full narrative on Kitron (it's free!)

Kitron's narrative projects €1.0 billion revenue and €71.4 million earnings by 2028. This requires 16.5% yearly revenue growth and about a €42.7 million earnings increase from €28.7 million today.

Uncover how Kitron's forecasts yield a NOK75.08 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

OB:KIT 1-Year Stock Price Chart
OB:KIT 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Seven fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span NOK60 to NOK134.91, revealing a wide spread of opinions on Kitron’s worth. Against this, the growing dependence on defence contracts with structurally lower margins raises questions about how much of the forecast growth will translate into sustained profitability.

Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Kitron - why the stock might be worth as much as 95% more than the current price!

Build Your Own Kitron Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Kitron research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Kitron research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Kitron's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.