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To own Joby today, you have to believe eVTOLs can evolve from test programs and government pilots into a scaled transport service, and that Joby can be one of the operators that reaches commercial maturity first. The recent plan to double U.S. capacity to four aircraft per month by 2027, backed by Toyota, and the Metropolis deal for 25 vertiports both lean into that story: management is committing real capital to move from prototypes and trials toward an actual network. In the near term, key catalysts still sit around FAA progress, early operations in places like Dubai and Saudi Arabia, and proof that Blade and other partnerships can generate repeat, paying passengers. The flip side is that Joby remains deeply unprofitable, trades on a rich price to book multiple, and could need more funding, so the stepped-up manufacturing and infrastructure spend slightly raise the execution and financing risks that were already front of mind.
However, one risk around funding this expanded build out is easy to overlook, and investors should not. Our comprehensive valuation report raises the possibility that Joby Aviation is priced higher than what may be justified by its financials.Explore 13 other fair value estimates on Joby Aviation - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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