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To own Avantor, you need to believe the company can convert its broad lab and bioprocessing footprint, new leadership team and operational scale into improving profitability despite weaker demand, rising competition and ongoing legal scrutiny. The appointment of Simon Dingemans appears more relevant to longer term governance and capital allocation than to the immediate catalysts, which remain the pace of revenue stabilization and margin recovery versus the risk of deeper margin compression and prolonged bioprocessing softness.
Among recent developments, the securities class action lawsuits alleging misstatements about Avantor’s competitive positioning feel most connected to Dingemans’ arrival, as they heighten the importance of credible board level oversight on disclosures and risk. How the company addresses these cases, while working to improve organic growth and protect margins, may influence whether investors see board refreshment and new operational leadership as enough to rebuild confidence.
But investors should not overlook the risk that intensified competition and pricing pressure could...
Read the full narrative on Avantor (it's free!)
Avantor's narrative projects $7.2 billion revenue and $461.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 2.5% yearly revenue growth and a $226.1 million earnings decrease from $687.4 million today.
Uncover how Avantor's forecasts yield a $13.64 fair value, a 21% upside to its current price.
Three members of the Simply Wall St Community value Avantor between US$12.51 and US$46.76, reflecting wide disagreement on its long term potential. You may want to weigh those views against the risk that competitive pressures and pricing actions squeeze margins and delay any earnings recovery.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Avantor - why the stock might be worth just $12.51!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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