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To own Taylor Morrison Home, you need to believe that its diversified homebuilding platform and cost discipline can offset weaker demand, a shrinking backlog, and margin pressure from incentives. Amanda Whalen’s appointment adds financial oversight, but it does not materially change the near term catalyst, which is how effectively the company manages high spec inventory without further eroding margins, or the key risk of deeper discounting if mortgage rate driven demand weakness persists.
The recent US$525 million senior notes offering, used to refinance near term maturities, is more relevant to the short term story than the board change itself. It underpins liquidity and balance sheet flexibility as Taylor Morrison leans into spec homes and incentives, but it also raises the stakes on maintaining profitability and cash generation if revenue and margins remain under pressure.
Yet behind the refinancing and new board appointment, investors should be aware that...
Read the full narrative on Taylor Morrison Home (it's free!)
Taylor Morrison Home's narrative projects $8.3 billion revenue and $874.5 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Taylor Morrison Home's forecasts yield a $74.25 fair value, a 24% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see Taylor Morrison’s fair value between US$73.74 and US$80 per share, highlighting a fairly tight cluster of expectations. You should weigh those views against the risk that sustained demand weakness and high spec inventory could keep pressure on margins and earnings, and consider how different outcomes there might change your own view of the company’s prospects.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Taylor Morrison Home - why the stock might be worth as much as 34% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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