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To own Affiliated Managers Group, you need to believe in its ability to compound earnings through affiliate performance, disciplined capital allocation, and resilient fee economics despite active management and fundraising headwinds. The new US$424.27 million, 5.50% senior unsecured notes modestly extend balance sheet flexibility, but do not materially change the near term catalyst around fund flows and affiliate earnings concentration, or the key risk that secular shifts toward passive and lower fee products could pressure revenue and margins.
The most relevant recent development alongside this bond issue is AMG’s active share repurchase program, with roughly US$370.28 million used to retire about 7.02% of shares under the 2024 authorization. Together, ongoing buybacks and fresh long term fixed rate funding frame how management is currently balancing capital returns with growth investments in affiliates, which sits at the heart of the investment case and will be tested if fee compression or volatile alternative fundraising persists.
Yet beneath AMG’s recent financing and buybacks, investors should be aware of the growing earnings concentration risk in a handful of key affiliates...
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Affiliated Managers Group's narrative projects $2.2 billion revenue and $594.9 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Affiliated Managers Group's forecasts yield a $307.71 fair value, a 12% upside to its current price.
Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community cluster between about US$293 and US$308 per share, highlighting how even a small group of investors can disagree on upside. Set against the risk that secular pressure on active and higher fee products may strain AMG’s revenue base, these differing views invite you to weigh how confidently long term affiliate performance can support the current business mix.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Affiliated Managers Group - why the stock might be worth just $293.07!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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