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How Annaly’s Reaffirmed Q4 2025 Dividend Payout At Annaly Capital Management (NLY) Has Changed Its Investment Story

Simply Wall St·12/18/2025 07:17:14
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  • Earlier this month, Annaly Capital Management’s board declared a past fourth-quarter 2025 cash dividend of US$0.70 per share, payable on January 30, 2026, to shareholders of record and ex-dividend on December 31, 2025.
  • This reaffirmed payout has sharpened attention on Annaly’s high-yield income profile and its efforts to sustain dividends after prior reductions.
  • With the dividend reaffirmed at US$0.70 per share, we’ll examine how this affects Annaly’s investment narrative around income stability.

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Annaly Capital Management Investment Narrative Recap

To own Annaly Capital Management, you generally need to believe in its ability to generate income from mortgage-backed assets while managing interest rate and spread volatility. The reaffirmed US$0.70 fourth quarter 2025 dividend underlines its income focus but does not materially change the near term catalyst, which remains how effectively Annaly can protect net interest margins amid rate and spread movements. The biggest current risk is that elevated hedging costs and volatile rates could still squeeze those margins.

Among recent announcements, the third quarter 2025 results stand out alongside this dividend news, with net income rising to US$832.45 million and diluted EPS at US$1.20. Together with the ongoing US$0.70 quarterly dividend level through 2025, these updates give investors more data to weigh the strength and sustainability of Annaly’s income engine against the pressures from interest rate volatility and mortgage spread behavior. But investors still need to be aware that elevated hedging costs could...

Read the full narrative on Annaly Capital Management (it's free!)

Annaly Capital Management's narrative projects $3.4 billion revenue and $3.2 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 46.9% yearly revenue growth and about a $2.6 billion earnings increase from $575.1 million today.

Uncover how Annaly Capital Management's forecasts yield a $22.10 fair value, in line with its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NLY 1-Year Stock Price Chart
NLY 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Twelve members of the Simply Wall St Community currently estimate Annaly’s fair value between US$17.50 and about US$41.94, highlighting a wide spread of opinion. Against that backdrop, the reaffirmed US$0.70 dividend and reliance on managing interest rate volatility show why many investors are closely watching how resilient Annaly’s earnings and payouts can be over time.

Explore 12 other fair value estimates on Annaly Capital Management - why the stock might be worth 22% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.