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To own Bird Construction, you need to believe the company can keep converting a record backlog and recurring contracts into dependable earnings, despite cyclical swings in Canadian construction and resources. The new CA$1.20 billion in awards, including a five year mechanical MSA and more work at Jansen, modestly supports the key short term catalyst of backlog quality, while also slightly easing concerns about project deferrals and underused capacity, but macro and sector specific slowdown risks still matter.
Among recent announcements, the multi hundred million dollar awards disclosed on 21 May 2025 are most relevant here, as they also spanned federal labs, seniors housing and mining infrastructure. Taken together with the latest CA$1.20 billion in industrial and resource focused work, they underline how Bird’s pipeline is increasingly anchored by larger collaborative contracts and recurring maintenance agreements, which can help offset lumpier buildings revenue but still leave the company exposed if clients delay or scale back major projects.
Yet behind these sizeable wins, there is still a risk investors should be aware of if long term capital projects are pushed out or...
Read the full narrative on Bird Construction (it's free!)
Bird Construction's narrative projects CA$4.6 billion revenue and CA$257.8 million earnings by 2028. This requires 10.6% yearly revenue growth and about a CA$159.4 million earnings increase from CA$98.4 million today.
Uncover how Bird Construction's forecasts yield a CA$36.56 fair value, a 30% upside to its current price.
Fourteen members of the Simply Wall St Community currently place Bird’s fair value between CA$28.60 and CA$90.63, reflecting a wide spread of opinions. Against this, the growing share of recurring master service agreements in Bird’s backlog may reassure some readers about earnings resilience if larger project awards slow, so it is worth comparing several of these viewpoints before forming a view.
Explore 14 other fair value estimates on Bird Construction - why the stock might be worth just CA$28.60!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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