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To own Kyverna today, you have to believe that CAR T-cell therapy can move from oncology into autoimmune diseases, and that KYV-101 can anchor a franchise across SPS, myasthenia gravis and lupus despite zero current revenue and rising losses of about US$161.0 million. The KYSA-8 readout and the rapid US$100.0 million equity raise look like a step-change for the near term, bringing a clearer path to a 2026 BLA filing and extending the cash runway, which may ease financing concerns that hung over the story before this data. Near term, the key catalysts now cluster around full KYSA-8 data, regulatory interactions and progress in KYSA-6, while the biggest risks shift toward regulatory outcomes, execution across multiple trials and the impact of shareholder dilution and the post-offering lock-up expiry on a share price that has already moved very sharply.
However, the combination of fresh equity and a looming lock‑up expiry is something investors should understand. Our comprehensive valuation report raises the possibility that Kyverna Therapeutics is priced higher than what may be justified by its financials.The single fair value estimate from the Simply Wall St Community sits at US$29.60, so you are comparing your own view against one concentrated benchmark. Set that beside the recent KYSA-8 data and funding raise, and it becomes clear that differing views on regulatory risk, dilution and commercial execution can lead to very different conclusions about Kyverna’s longer term potential, which is why exploring several perspectives can be helpful.
Explore another fair value estimate on Kyverna Therapeutics - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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