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How Investors Are Reacting To Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX) Rusfertide’s Pivotal Phase 3 VERIFY Results

Simply Wall St·12/17/2025 12:25:51
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  • Protagonist Therapeutics and collaboration partner Takeda recently reported 52-week data from the pivotal Phase 3 VERIFY trial of rusfertide in polycythemia vera, showing durable hematocrit control without phlebotomy eligibility and a safety profile in line with prior results.
  • The therapy’s multiple FDA designations, including Breakthrough Therapy and Orphan Drug, underscore its potential importance for patients who remain phlebotomy-dependent despite current standard treatments.
  • We’ll now look at how rusfertide’s durable Phase 3 VERIFY data and regulatory designations shape Protagonist Therapeutics’ broader investment narrative.

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What Is Protagonist Therapeutics' Investment Narrative?

To own Protagonist Therapeutics, you really have to believe that rusfertide and the J&J-partnered icotrokinra can turn today’s largely milestone-driven revenue into durable, product-based cash flows. The new 52-week VERIFY data fit neatly into that thesis, reinforcing rusfertide’s durability and safety in a clearly defined PV population and arguably sharpening the company’s near-term regulatory and partnership catalysts rather than changing them outright. With the share price already close to consensus targets after a very large multi‑year run, the market seems to have priced in a fair amount of success, which makes execution risk more important. Key swing factors now look like regulatory decisions on rusfertide, J&J’s progress across the ICONIC program, and Protagonist’s need to fund any future unpartnered assets without unduly diluting shareholders.

However, investors should also understand how much is riding on a small number of clinical and regulatory outcomes. Protagonist Therapeutics' shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued by 22%. Find out what it's worth.

Exploring Other Perspectives

PTGX 1-Year Stock Price Chart
PTGX 1-Year Stock Price Chart
Community members on Simply Wall St see fair value between about US$92.83 and US$116.94 across 2 views, yet recent VERIFY data and concentrated pipeline risks mean outcomes could diverge sharply, so it pays to weigh several perspectives.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Protagonist Therapeutics - why the stock might be worth as much as 28% more than the current price!

Build Your Own Protagonist Therapeutics Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.