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To own Sprouts, you need to believe its focus on natural and organic offerings, store expansion and supply chain investments can still create value, even as competition and consumer softness weigh on same store sales. The recent class action lawsuits around allegedly misleading growth commentary add legal and reputational uncertainty, but the most immediate catalyst remains how management handles guidance and comparable sales trends after the Q3 2025 slowdown, with litigation risk now an added overhang rather than the core business driver.
The Q3 2025 earnings release and subsequent cut to full year guidance sit at the center of these lawsuits, since the filings point directly to the reported slowdown in comparable store sales and lowered growth outlook. That update effectively reset near term expectations around the expansion story and consumer resilience, and it is now the key reference point investors are watching as they weigh the potential impact of ongoing store growth, supply chain initiatives and the new US$1.0 billion share repurchase program against the risk that prior optimism proves hard to recapture.
Yet behind the attractive growth and value story, investors also need to be aware of intensifying competition that could...
Read the full narrative on Sprouts Farmers Market (it's free!)
Sprouts Farmers Market's narrative projects $11.5 billion revenue and $707.5 million earnings by 2028. This requires 10.9% yearly revenue growth and about a $222.6 million earnings increase from $484.9 million.
Uncover how Sprouts Farmers Market's forecasts yield a $124.29 fair value, a 57% upside to its current price.
Nine members of the Simply Wall St Community see fair value for Sprouts between US$122.01 and US$189.06, underscoring how far sentiment can spread. Against that backdrop, concerns about intensifying competition from larger grocers could meaningfully influence how those different views play out in the company’s performance over time.
Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Sprouts Farmers Market - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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