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AT&T’s Spectrum Buy And Dividend Pledge Could Be A Game Changer For AT&T (T)

Simply Wall St·12/16/2025 20:21:31
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  • In December 2025, AT&T’s board declared a quarterly common dividend of US$0.2775 per share and approved quarterly payouts on its 5.000% Series A and 4.750% Series C perpetual preferred stock, all payable on February 2, 2026, to shareholders of record on January 12, 2026.
  • Alongside this dividend affirmation, Wolfe Research’s downgrade and AT&T’s more than US$1.00 billion spectrum purchase from UScellular have sharpened focus on how rising competitive pressures and heavier network investment could affect its future profitability mix.
  • We’ll now examine how AT&T’s spectrum acquisition and sustained dividend commitments influence its existing investment narrative and risk profile.

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AT&T Investment Narrative Recap

To own AT&T, you generally need to believe its heavy investment in 5G and fiber, plus its bundled connectivity strategy, can offset slow overall growth and high debt. The key short term catalyst remains execution on network upgrades and convergence, while the biggest risk is intensifying wireless competition that could squeeze margins. The latest dividend affirmation and US$1.0 billion-plus spectrum deal do not fundamentally change that risk reward balance but they do highlight capital allocation trade offs.

Among recent updates, the spectrum purchase from UScellular is most relevant here, because it directly links AT&T’s balance sheet and dividend commitments to its core Mobility catalyst. By bolstering 5G capacity, this deal supports the company’s push for higher quality, bundled mobile and broadband relationships, but it also comes as Wolfe Research flags a tougher promotional backdrop, which could make it harder to translate added spectrum into improved profitability.

Yet while the spectrum acquisition aims to strengthen AT&T’s network position, investors should be aware that rising competitive pressure and higher capital needs could...

Read the full narrative on AT&T (it's free!)

AT&T’s narrative projects $130.6 billion in revenue and $17.0 billion in earnings by 2028.

Uncover how AT&T's forecasts yield a $30.99 fair value, a 27% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

T 1-Year Stock Price Chart
T 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Some analysts were far more optimistic before this news, assuming revenue could reach about US$130 billion and earnings US$17.6 billion, but if regulatory hurdles slow AT&T’s shift away from legacy services, those upbeat expectations and the more cautious risk narrative you have seen here may both need revisiting.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on AT&T - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own AT&T Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your AT&T research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free AT&T research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate AT&T's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.