Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV) is drawing fresh attention after it entered the Swiss market with its new FlexGrid battery storage offering, backed by agreements with Schindler Group and Energie Wettingen AG. This move directly supports its broader European expansion strategy.
See our latest analysis for Energy Vault Holdings.
The Swiss FlexGrid launch and recent shelf registration come against a backdrop of strong momentum, with a roughly 120% 3 month share price return and 1 year total shareholder return of about 169%. This suggests investors are warming to its growth story despite ongoing losses.
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After a sharp rerating that has pushed shares well above consensus price targets, investors now face a key question: Is Energy Vault still flying under the radar, or has the market already priced in its next leg of growth?
With the most followed narrative pointing to a fair value of $3.73 versus a last close of $4.97, the current share price sits notably above that framework, putting a spotlight on the assumptions behind the long term upside.
The analysts have a consensus price target of $1.1 for Energy Vault Holdings based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $1.7, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $0.5.
Want to see how aggressive revenue expansion, margin repair, and future earnings multiples combine into that higher fair value line? The core logic rests on sharply improving profitability layered onto rapid top line growth, then discounted back using a specific risk framework. Curious how those moving parts interact across the next few years? Read on to unpack the full narrative behind the numbers.
Result: Fair Value of $3.73 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, successful execution of Asset Vault projects and monetization of tax credits could accelerate recurring cash flows and challenge assumptions that current market optimism is overdone.
Find out about the key risks to this Energy Vault Holdings narrative.
If you see things differently and would rather dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalized view in just a few minutes: Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Energy Vault Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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